Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.019594 0.021808 0.024022 0.026395 0.028862 0.031345 0.034029
2025-02-16 0.015325 0.018822 0.022451 0.026466 0.030757 0.035178 0.040058
2025-02-23 0.012324 0.016592 0.021171 0.026368 0.032038 0.037980 0.044631
2025-03-02 0.009958 0.014713 0.019980 0.026096 0.032885 0.040097 0.048256
2025-03-09 0.008157 0.013250 0.019068 0.025964 0.033735 0.042083 0.051610
2025-03-16 0.006375 0.011608 0.017800 0.025303 0.033885 0.043204 0.053928
2025-03-23 0.005266 0.010665 0.017257 0.025389 0.034801 0.045106 0.057036
2025-03-30 0.004102 0.009513 0.016372 0.025003 0.035121 0.046291 0.059305
2025-04-06 0.002987 0.008273 0.015286 0.024308 0.035027 0.046965 0.060961
2025-04-13 0.001874 0.006827 0.013828 0.023087 0.034261 0.046832 0.061672
2025-04-20 0.001497 0.006474 0.013765 0.023544 0.035437 0.048880 0.064801
2025-04-27 0.000921 0.005625 0.012972 0.023052 0.035458 0.049583 0.066393
2025-05-04 0.000331 0.004505 0.011805 0.022168 0.035141 0.050055 0.067922
2025-05-11 0.000095 0.003966 0.011453 0.022346 0.036138 0.052097 0.071298
2025-05-18 NaN 0.003363 0.010935 0.022272 0.036806 0.053741 0.074207
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002750 0.010318 0.022020 0.037225 0.055069 0.076732
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002257 0.009825 0.021898 0.037778 0.056531 0.079388
2025-06-08 NaN 0.001650 0.009013 0.021283 0.037678 0.057197 0.081104
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001344 0.008712 0.021363 0.038438 0.058867 0.083964
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000953 0.008132 0.021005 0.038616 0.059825 0.085981
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000562 0.007389 0.020359 0.038396 0.060284 0.087399
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000190 0.006373 0.019227 0.037504 0.059904 0.087815
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000132 0.006365 0.019651 0.038647 0.061986 0.091105